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Robinhood beats profit estimates as options and prediction markets surge

Robinhood beats profit estimates as options and prediction markets surge
Earnings · 2026
Photo · Hannah Cole for Daily Digest Invest
By Hannah Cole Earnings Reporter Jul 29, 2026 4 min read

Robinhood Markets, the trading app that helped popularize commission-free investing for everyday people, reported second-quarter results that topped Wall Street's profit expectations. The company benefited from a surge in trading activity across stocks, options and prediction markets, even as its crypto business took a step back.

Transaction-based revenue — the fees Robinhood earns when customers trade — jumped 44% from a year earlier to $776 million, according to Reuters. That growth was fueled by what the company called "record transactions" in equities, options and event contracts, which together brought in $156 million. Crypto transaction revenue, by contrast, fell 38%.

What drove the growth

Robinhood makes most of its money when its users place trades, so busy markets tend to flow straight into its bottom line. The second quarter saw heightened activity in stock and options markets, as investors reacted to shifting expectations around interest rates and economic data. The company's push into prediction markets — where users can bet on outcomes of events like elections or sports — also contributed to the revenue beat.

Prediction markets have become a growing area of interest for retail traders, and Robinhood's early move into that space appears to be paying off. Event contracts, as the company calls them, are a relatively new product for the platform, but they helped offset some of the weakness in crypto trading.

The broader backdrop for retail trading has been mixed. While some platforms have seen a slowdown from the pandemic-era frenzy, Robinhood has managed to keep users engaged by expanding its product lineup. The company has also benefited from a broader trend of fintech platforms adding new ways for customers to invest and trade.

What it means for investors

For everyday investors, Robinhood's results offer a window into the health of retail trading activity. When the company reports strong transaction revenue, it suggests that individual investors are actively participating in markets — a positive sign for brokerages and trading platforms more broadly.

The decline in crypto revenue is worth watching, however. It reflects the volatile nature of digital asset trading, which can swing wildly based on sentiment and regulatory news. Robinhood's ability to grow overall revenue despite that drop shows the value of diversification. Investors who use the platform may want to keep an eye on how the company balances its crypto offerings with other products like options and prediction markets.

Options trading, in particular, has become a major driver of revenue for Robinhood. Options are contracts that give investors the right to buy or sell a stock at a set price within a certain timeframe. They can be used to hedge risk or speculate on price moves, and they have become increasingly popular among retail traders. The company's record options activity suggests that this trend is continuing.

Prediction markets, meanwhile, are a newer and potentially riskier area. They allow users to trade contracts based on the outcome of future events, from political elections to weather patterns. While they can be profitable for the platform, they also raise regulatory questions. Investors should be aware that these products carry their own set of risks and may not be suitable for everyone.

Looking ahead

Robinhood's results come at a time when markets are closely watching the Federal Reserve's next moves on interest rates. The central bank's decisions have a direct impact on trading volumes and investor sentiment. A split among market participants over whether the Fed will hike or hold rates has kept volatility elevated, which tends to benefit trading platforms like Robinhood.

The company will need to navigate several challenges in the coming quarters. Crypto regulation remains uncertain, and competition from other trading apps is fierce. But if Robinhood can continue to attract users with new products and keep them trading actively, it may be able to sustain its momentum.

For now, the second-quarter results show that Robinhood is more than just a crypto trading app. Its ability to generate record revenue from stocks, options and prediction markets suggests that the platform is evolving to meet the changing needs of retail investors.

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