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Block Lifts Gross Profit Outlook as Cash App Momentum Builds

Block Lifts Gross Profit Outlook as Cash App Momentum Builds
Earnings · 2026
Photo · Hannah Cole for Daily Digest Invest
By Hannah Cole Earnings Reporter Nov 3, 2026 4 min read

Block, the payments company led by Jack Dorsey, has raised its gross profit outlook for the year after a stronger-than-expected third quarter, powered by its consumer app Cash App. The company said Cash App gross profit rose 27% from a year earlier, while its seller-focused Square unit grew 14%. Adjusted operating income nearly doubled to $923 million.

The results show Block's two main businesses — one serving consumers, the other serving merchants — expanding at the same time, a combination the company has been working toward since it began tying the two ecosystems together.

What Block actually does

Block operates two large platforms. Square provides payment hardware, software and banking tools to small and medium-sized businesses. Cash App is a consumer finance app that started as a way to send money between people and has since expanded into debit cards, direct deposit, stock and bitcoin trading, and lending.

Gross profit is a key measure for payments companies because it strips out the cost of processing transactions and shows how much money the business keeps from its products and services. For Block, gross profit is a better gauge of underlying performance than raw revenue, which can be inflated by low-margin payment volume.

Management credited product changes for the Cash App momentum, including a social feature called "Neighborhoods" that lets users interact around their spending. The app reached 60 million monthly transacting customers in September, a sign that consumer engagement held up even as broader spending patterns stayed firm.

The lending shift and rising credit losses

Cash App's growth is increasingly coming from banking and lending products rather than simple peer-to-peer payments. That shift is important because lending generates higher margins but also carries credit risk. Block said its credit losses climbed during the quarter, a reminder that as the app moves deeper into consumer finance, it takes on more of the risk that borrowers may not repay.

Investors have been watching this transition closely. Companies that move from pure payments into lending often see revenue and profit expand, but they also become more sensitive to the health of the consumer. If unemployment rises or household budgets tighten, loan losses can eat into the gains from higher-margin products.

For now, Block's consumer spending trends appear stable, which supports the case that the lending push is adding to profits rather than subtracting from them.

AI tools and the next revenue stream

Block also said it expects its first direct revenue from artificial intelligence tools in the fourth quarter. That would mark a new phase for the company, which has been embedding AI into its products for some time but has not yet booked meaningful revenue tied specifically to those tools.

It is not unusual for technology and fintech firms to spend heavily on AI before seeing a return. The AI boom's profits have flowed mostly to chipmakers so far, while software and services companies are still working out how to charge for AI features. Block's disclosure suggests it may be closer to turning those investments into a billable product.

How much revenue the AI tools generate, and at what margin, will be a key question for investors in the coming quarters.

What it means for investors

Block's raised outlook signals that management sees enough demand across both Cash App and Square to lift full-year expectations, even with credit costs rising. That combination — higher profit guidance alongside higher loan losses — is the central tension in the story.

  • Cash App is the growth engine. A 27% jump in gross profit shows the consumer app is still adding users and expanding the range of products they use.
  • Square provides stability. The 14% growth in seller tools gives Block a second, more business-cycle-resilient source of profit.
  • Credit risk is the watch item. Rising losses on Cash App loans mean investors should track delinquency trends and any changes in consumer spending.
  • AI revenue is the wildcard. The first direct AI revenue in the fourth quarter could open a new growth story, but the size and durability of that revenue are unknown.

For everyday investors, the takeaway is that Block is a company in transition. It is no longer just a payments processor; it is increasingly a consumer bank and a merchant software provider, with an AI business on the horizon. That broader mix can support higher profits over time, but it also brings new risks that did not exist when the business was simpler.

Investors will likely focus next on the fourth-quarter report for signs that Cash App's lending products are performing as expected, whether Square's growth holds, and how much revenue the AI tools actually bring in. Guidance for the coming year will matter just as much as the headline numbers, since it will show whether management expects the current momentum to continue.

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