Economy
Central banks, inflation, jobs and growth, and the policy decisions that shape the cycle.
Japan's Eco Watchers Index Edges Up to 44.0 in June, Still Below Pessimism Threshold
Japan's street-level economic gauge ticked up in June but remained below 50, signaling more pessimists than optimists. The outlook index jum
Bank of Thailand Holds Rate at 1.00%, Warns Inflation May Exceed Target by 2026
The Bank of Thailand held its policy rate at 1.00% for a second straight meeting, while raising its 2026 growth forecast to 2.3%. Minutes sh
RBNZ Hikes Rate to 2.50%, Signals More Tightening as Inflation Persists
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand lifted its official cash rate to 2.50% and signaled more hikes may come as inflation remains above target. T
RBA Warns Oil Spike Could Fuel Second-Round Inflation, Keeping Rate Hikes on Table
RBA Assistant Governor Sarah Hunter warned that an Iran-linked oil price jump could fuel broader inflation if expectations drift higher. The
UK Temp Hiring Hits 3-Year High as Permanent Roles Shrink, BoC Watches for Pay Pressure
UK employers are turning to temporary staff at the fastest pace in over three years, while permanent hiring continues to shrink. The Bank of
US Inflation Expectations Rise to 3.7% as Treasury Yields Climb
Americans' near-term inflation outlook edged higher in June, with the New York Fed's one-year expectations rising to 3.7%. The 10-year Treas
US Trade Deficit Widens 42% in May to $77.59 Billion, Raising Growth Concerns
The US trade deficit widened sharply in May, reaching $77.59 billion, its largest gap since March 2025. Imports rose 3.3% while exports fell
Swiss Pay Gap Widens as Top Earners See 16.8% Real Wage Growth, Bottom 10% Fall Behind
A new study from the Swiss Federation of Trade Unions shows that from 2016 to 2024, inflation-adjusted wages for the top 1% rose 16.8%, whil
Outspoken China Economist Gao Shanwen Dies at 55 After Cancer Battle
Gao Shanwen, a prominent Chinese macroeconomist who publicly challenged official growth figures, has died of cancer at 55. His contrarian vi
Canada's Trade Surplus Hits Four-Year High as Oil Rally Lifts the Loonie
Canada's trade surplus hit a four-year high in May, driven by rising exports and a jump in oil prices to $70 a barrel. The Canadian dollar e
Canadian Manufacturers Halt Investment Plans as Tariff Fears Push Production South
A new KPMG survey shows 57% of Canadian manufacturers have delayed or canceled capital investments, and 40% are moving or considering moving
US Consumer Inflation Expectations Tick Up Again in June, New York Fed Survey Shows
US consumers expect prices to rise 3.7% over the next year, up from 3.5% in May. Longer-term expectations edged up or held steady, while unc