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Riyad Capital cuts Theeb target after profit miss

Riyad Capital cuts Theeb target after profit miss
Earnings · 2026
Photo · Hannah Cole for Daily Digest Invest
By Hannah Cole Earnings Reporter Aug 12, 2026 3 min read

Saudi Arabia's Theeb Rent a Car saw its shares come under pressure after the company reported a sharp drop in quarterly profit, prompting Riyad Capital to lower its price target on the stock.

The car rental firm said revenue rose 16% year over year to SAR 425 million in the second quarter of 2026, roughly in line with what analysts had expected. But net profit tumbled 66% to SAR 16 million, far below both the consensus estimate of SAR 35 million and Riyad Capital's own forecast of SAR 36 million.

The miss was driven by persistently high costs and provisions, as well as weaker profitability from used-car sales, according to the brokerage.

Why profit fell despite revenue growth

The gap between revenue growth and profit decline highlights the margin pressure Theeb is facing. While the top line expanded, the company's expenses grew faster, eating into earnings. Higher costs and provisions—money set aside for potential losses—weighed heavily on the bottom line.

Used-car sales, which can be a meaningful profit contributor for rental companies, also turned less profitable. That segment has been a drag, and Riyad Capital noted that the weakness there was a key reason for the profit shortfall.

For investors, the lesson is that revenue growth alone doesn't tell the whole story. A company can grow sales while its profits shrink if costs are rising faster or if certain business lines become less lucrative.

What the price target cut means

Riyad Capital, a Saudi investment firm, responded by trimming its price target for Theeb. A price target is an analyst's estimate of what a stock should be worth over a certain period, usually 12 months. When a target is cut, it often signals that the analyst sees less upside in the shares than before.

The move is similar to what other brokers have done recently with companies that miss earnings expectations. For example, Jefferies cut its target on SGH after pressure on its WesTrac division, and Zydus Lifesciences saw its profit drop despite record revenue. These cases show that analysts often adjust their valuations when a company's earnings deviate from forecasts.

For Theeb, the cut reflects the reality that its profit is coming in well below what the market had priced in. Investors who were expecting a stronger quarter may now reassess their outlook for the stock.

What it means for investors

For everyday investors, this news is a reminder to look beyond the headline revenue number. A company can post solid top-line growth but still disappoint if its costs are out of control or if key segments underperform.

It's also worth noting that a single quarter's miss doesn't necessarily doom a company's long-term prospects. Rental car demand can be cyclical, and used-car prices fluctuate. However, when a broker cuts its price target, it suggests that the near-term earnings picture has weakened.

Investors should watch whether Theeb can bring costs under control and improve used-car profitability in the coming quarters. If those pressures persist, further downgrades could follow. On the other hand, if the company manages to stabilize margins, the stock could recover.

As always, it's important to consider your own financial situation and risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.

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