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ADNIC beats forecasts with 6.3% profit rise; FAB keeps target

ADNIC beats forecasts with 6.3% profit rise; FAB keeps target
Earnings · 2026
Photo · Hannah Cole for Daily Digest Invest
By Hannah Cole Earnings Reporter Aug 20, 2026 3 min read

Abu Dhabi National Insurance Co. (ADNIC) delivered a stronger-than-expected second quarter, and brokerage FAB Securities is sticking with its bullish view. The insurer reported a 6.3% year-on-year increase in quarterly net profit to AED 119 million, beating FAB's forecast. The broker reaffirmed its target price of AED 9.35 per share.

What drove the beat

FAB Securities pointed to a robust first half, powered by premium growth and disciplined underwriting. ADNIC's gross written premiums reached AED 6.1 billion in the first half of 2026, a sign that the company is expanding its insurance book.

Perhaps more telling is the combined ratio of 95.2%. For those unfamiliar with insurance jargon, the combined ratio measures what an insurer spends on claims and operating expenses relative to the premiums it collects. A ratio below 100% means the company is making an underwriting profit—that is, it's earning more from its core insurance business than it pays out in claims and costs. ADNIC's figure suggests it isn't relying on investment gains to prop up its results.

Why this matters for investors

For everyday investors, an insurer beating expectations and maintaining a healthy combined ratio is a positive signal. It indicates that the company is managing risk well and pricing its policies appropriately, which can lead to more stable earnings over time.

FAB Securities' decision to keep its target price unchanged—rather than trimming it—shows confidence that the strong performance is sustainable. The broker's positive stance is based on the insurer's ability to grow premiums while keeping costs in check.

It's worth noting that ADNIC operates in a competitive regional market. Insurers in the Gulf often face pressure from price competition, but those with strong underwriting discipline tend to weather the cycle better. ADNIC's combined ratio suggests it is one of those disciplined players.

What to watch next

Investors will likely keep an eye on whether ADNIC can maintain its premium growth in the second half of the year. The company's ability to keep its combined ratio below 100% will also be a key metric to monitor. If the insurer can sustain this performance, it may justify the broker's confidence.

For those considering ADNIC shares, the target price of AED 9.35 provides a reference point, but it's important to remember that target prices are just one analyst's view. As always, do your own research and consider how the stock fits into your broader portfolio.

In the wider context, ADNIC's results come as the UAE insurance sector continues to evolve. Companies that can combine growth with profitability are likely to stand out. The company's first-half performance suggests it is on that path.

For more on how other companies are navigating similar challenges, you might look at how PZU beat forecasts thanks to tighter motor pricing, or how Hays exceeded expectations through cost cuts and temporary hiring. Both stories highlight the importance of operational discipline in beating market forecasts.

Ultimately, ADNIC's beat is a reminder that in the insurance world, underwriting discipline is the bedrock of long-term value. While investment returns can boost results in good times, a solid combined ratio is what protects shareholders when markets turn.

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